So what happened to the Big Blizzard Forecast?
National Weather Service experts misjudged the path and impact of the blizzard that struck the Northeast on Monday and Tuesday, in large part because they trusted the wrong forecasting model, several independent meteorologists said.
The European forecasting model predicted that the heaviest snow would fall between 50 and 100 miles farther west than actually occurred.
Still, it correctly calculated the broader outlines of the blizzard.
As predicted, the storm pounded parts of Long Island, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Massachusetts and Maine, with winds in excess of 50 mph and snow in some locales up to 30 inches deep.
The well-regarded European computer model that predicted the worst of this storm would squarely hit New York City.
That system earlier had outperformed the U.S. forecasting system in predicting the path of superstorm Sandy.
Superstorm Sandy was the deadliest and most destructive hurricane
of the 2012 Atlantic hurricane season, as well as the second-costliest hurricane
in United States history.
While it was a Category 2 storm off the coast of the Northeastern United States, the storm became the largest Atlantic hurricane on record.
Estimates as of March 2014 assess damage to have been over $68 billion, a total surpassed only by Hurricane Katrina in 2005.
At least 233 people were killed along the path of the storm in eight countries.
So New York City and some of the surrounding areas are making light
of "the Blizzard that Never Came" ...
But it did come to other areas, such as Massachusetts, where there was
hurricane force winds, flooding, lots of snow, power outages, evacuations and much more chaos. The National Guard was called into several areas to help out.
THE POINT IS ...
Disasters Happen! People need to Be Prepared!
So if the wrong weather tracking model is used or misinterpreted, that does not mean lives and property are not in jeopardy.
Warnings need to be taken seriously.
Katrina and Sandy taught us that, yet we still are not prepared.
"Dread of Disaster makes everyone act in the very way that increases
the Disaster" - Bertrand Russell.
BE DISASTER READY!
Have a Plan.
Share It With Others.
Get you Disaster Supplies and your Emergency Kits today!
Learn what to do before, during and after a Disaster or Medical Emergency.
Failing to Prepare is Preparing to Fail! - Benjamin Franklin